Buffalo Sabres at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-11-13 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

COL: 85.0%

BUF: 15.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.43

BUF: 2.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs BUF: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	COL 6 - 3 BUF	COL	COL
2025-10-13	BUF 1 - 3 COL	COL	BUF
2025-01-02	COL 6 - 5 BUF	COL	COL
2024-12-03	BUF 4 - 5 COL	COL	BUF
2023-12-13	COL 5 - 1 BUF	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	16	2	1.26
1	BUF	14	1	1.34
2	COL	20	1	1.11
2	BUF	13	0	1.28
3	COL	22	1	1.96
3	BUF	12	0	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 85.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 4.4 - 2.4