San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-11-13 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 0 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

CGY: 65.6%

SJS: 34.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.10

SJS: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	SJS
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	19	0	1.24
1	SJS	2	0	0.19
2	CGY	19	1	1.42
2	SJS	10	0	0.63
3	CGY	14	1	1.20
3	SJS	15	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 0 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9