Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-11-13 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 52.9%

WPG: 47.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.26

WPG: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 35%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	SEA	WPG
Season SV%	0.920	0.907
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.32	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	26	23	3	88.5%	2.24	1	-0.76
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	18	13	5	72.2%	3.14	3	-1.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SEA at home vs WPG: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	15	1	0.93
1	WPG	6	1	0.37
2	SEA	11	1	0.79
2	WPG	19	0	1.00
3	SEA	8	1	1.42
3	WPG	15	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown