Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-11-14 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 80.1%

VAN: 19.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.52

VAN: 1.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	CAR	VAN
Season SV%	0.899	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	17	14	3	82.4%	1.31	0	-1.69
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	38	34	4	89.5%	3.82	1	-0.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR
2024-10-28	VAN 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-02-06	CAR 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	0	0.90
1	VAN	6	0	0.44
2	CAR	23	0	0.82
2	VAN	11	0	0.60
3	CAR	21	1	1.71
3	VAN	5	0	0.21
4	CAR	4	0	0.39
4	VAN	2	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.5 - 2.0