Philadelphia Flyers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-11-14 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 5 - 6 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 58.3%
PHI: 41.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.08
PHI: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | STL | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.839 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs PHI: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | PHI 3 - 2 STL | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-11-14 | STL 5 - 6 PHI | PHI | STL |
| 2024-11-30 | STL 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | STL |
| 2024-10-31 | PHI 2 - 1 STL | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-04 | PHI 1 - 2 STL | STL | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:42 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:18 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 01:19 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:24 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:17 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:54 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:29 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:53 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:56 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:40 | STL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 5 - 6 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2