New York Islanders at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-11-14 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 New York Islanders (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 63.7%

NYI: 36.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.44

NYI: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs NYI: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-01	NYI 2 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-14	UTA 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	UTA
2025-01-11	UTA 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	UTA
2024-10-10	NYI 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	22	2	1.98
1	NYI	8	1	0.75
2	UTA	13	0	1.14
2	NYI	15	1	1.09
3	UTA	13	0	0.81
3	NYI	12	2	1.80
4	UTA	0	0	0.00
4	NYI	3	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9