New York Islanders at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-11-14 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 New York Islanders (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 70.4%
NYI: 29.6%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.62
NYI: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | UTA | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.881 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.884 | — |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs NYI: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | NYI 2 - 7 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-14 | UTA 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | UTA |
| 2025-01-11 | UTA 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | UTA |
| 2024-10-10 | NYI 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 70.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7
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