Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-11-15 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 0 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 55.6%

LAK: 44.4%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.25

LAK: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-24	LAK 2 - 1 OTT	LAK	LAK
2025-11-15	OTT 0 - 1 LAK	LAK	OTT
2024-11-30	LAK 5 - 2 OTT	LAK	OTT
2024-10-14	OTT 8 - 7 LAK	OTT	OTT
2024-03-07	LAK 4 - 3 OTT	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	8	0	0.47
1	LAK	6	0	0.23
2	OTT	9	0	0.64
2	LAK	5	0	0.18
3	OTT	19	0	1.05
3	LAK	17	2	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 0 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0