Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-11-15 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 0 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 58.7%
LAK: 41.3%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.06
LAK: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | OTT | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.944 | 0.964 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs LAK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | LAK 2 - 1 OTT | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-15 | OTT 0 - 1 LAK | LAK | OTT |
| 2024-11-30 | LAK 5 - 2 OTT | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-10-14 | OTT 8 - 7 LAK | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-03-07 | LAK 4 - 3 OTT | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:19 | LAK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 0 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8