DET vs BUF - 2025-11-15
2025-11-15 • Little Caesars Arena
DET 4 - 5 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 66.0%
BUF: 34.0%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.59
BUF: 2.49
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 17-9-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.75 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:23 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 10:52 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 03:52 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 05:56 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 08:50 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 17:58 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 04:25 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 09:28 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 01:05 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
DET 4 - 5 BUF
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5