Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-11-15 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Buffalo Sabres (OT)

Win Probability

DET: 47.7%

BUF: 52.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.42

BUF: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • DET at home vs BUF: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	BUF 2 - 5 DET	DET	BUF
2025-11-15	DET 4 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DET	BUF	BUF
2025-03-12	DET 7 - 3 BUF	DET	BUF
2024-12-09	BUF 5 - 6 DET	DET	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	2	0.76
1	BUF	10	1	1.11
2	DET	19	0	1.66
2	BUF	10	0	0.69
3	DET	12	0	0.79
3	BUF	16	1	1.25
4	DET	0	0	0.00
4	BUF	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1