Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-11-15 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 60.9%

EDM: 39.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.84

EDM: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	EDM 3 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-15	CAR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	CAR
2025-03-01	CAR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	CAR
2024-10-22	EDM 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-12-06	EDM 6 - 1 CAR	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	0	0.76
1	EDM	17	1	1.33
2	CAR	23	0	1.20
2	EDM	9	1	0.93
3	CAR	16	0	1.11
3	EDM	11	3	1.17
4	CAR	0	0	0.00
4	EDM	1	0	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8