Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-11-15 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 66.2%
EDM: 33.8%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.72
EDM: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 8.2
Over 5.5: 82%
Over 6.5: 71%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | CAR | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.839 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | EDM 3 - 6 CAR | CAR | EDM |
| 2025-11-15 | CAR 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2025-03-01 | CAR 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2024-10-22 | EDM 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-12-06 | EDM 6 - 1 CAR | EDM | EDM |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.7 - 3.3
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