New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-11-15 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 New York Rangers (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 53.6%

NYR: 46.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.25

NYR: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	CBJ	NYR
Season SV%	0.909	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	36	33	3	91.7%	4.91	5	1.91
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	29	27	2	93.1%	4.05	2	2.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CBJ at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	CBJ
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	CBJ
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	11	0	0.93
1	NYR	18	1	0.79
2	CBJ	17	1	1.24
2	NYR	24	1	1.71
3	CBJ	12	0	0.60
3	NYR	11	1	0.72
4	CBJ	3	0	0.22
4	NYR	3	0	0.24
5	CBJ	3	1	1.06
5	NYR	3	2	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1