Toronto Maple Leafs at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-11-15 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 46.5%

TOR: 53.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.80

TOR: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 4.6

Over 5.5: 37%

Over 6.5: 26%

CHI

Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs TOR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	TOR 3 - 2 CHI	TOR	TOR
2025-11-15	CHI 3 - 2 TOR	CHI	TOR
2025-02-23	CHI 2 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-12-02	TOR 4 - 1 CHI	TOR	TOR
2023-11-24	CHI 4 - 3 TOR	CHI	TOR

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9