Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-11-15 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

STL: 40.5%

VGK: 59.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.06

VGK: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs VGK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	VGK 4 - 2 STL	VGK	VGK
2026-01-02	STL 4 - 3 VGK	STL	VGK
2025-11-15	STL 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-23	STL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-20	VGK 4 - 5 STL	STL	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	11	0.36
1	VGK	25	1.35
2	STL	12	0.51
2	VGK	21	1.05
3	STL	11	0.53
3	VGK	9	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3