Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-11-15 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 56.8%
PHI: 43.2%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.83
PHI: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | DAL | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.952 | 0.821 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DAL at home vs PHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | DAL 5 - 1 PHI | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-03-22 | DAL 3 - 2 PHI | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-01-09 | PHI 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | PHI |
| 2024-01-18 | PHI 5 - 1 DAL | PHI | PHI |
| 2023-10-21 | DAL 5 - 4 PHI | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:48 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:39 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:02 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 09:29 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:57 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:51 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6