Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-11-15 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 51.2%
PHI: 48.8%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.82
PHI: 2.58
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | DAL | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.952 | 0.821 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs PHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | PHI 2 - 1 DAL | PHI | DAL |
| 2025-11-15 | DAL 5 - 1 PHI | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-03-22 | DAL 3 - 2 PHI | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-01-09 | PHI 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-01-18 | PHI 5 - 1 DAL | PHI | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.