San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-11-15 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 54.8%

SJS: 45.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.12

SJS: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Matt Murray - 0-2-1 | 0.922 SV% | 2.21 GAA

SJS

Alex Nedeljkovic - 5-7-2 | 0.895 SV% | 3.06 GAA

Stat	SEA	SJS
Season SV%	0.922	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	3.06

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Matt Murray	26	25	1	96.2%	2.54	0	1.54
SJS	Alex Nedeljkovic	23	19	4	82.6%	2.47	2	-1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SEA at home vs SJS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	1	0.69
1	SJS	15	0	0.71
2	SEA	16	0	0.68
2	SJS	17	0	1.23
3	SEA	8	1	1.10
3	SJS	13	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown