Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-11-16 • Avicii Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 0 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PIT: 54.5%

NSH: 45.5%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.47

NSH: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PIT

Sergei Murashov - 1-1-0 | 0.932 SV% | 1.53 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	PIT	NSH
Season SV%	0.932	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	1.53	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Sergei Murashov	21	21	0	100.0%	1.76	0	1.76
NSH	Juuse Saros	22	18	4	81.8%	3.27	3	-0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs NSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-16	PIT 4 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2025-11-14	NSH 2 - 1 PIT	NSH	NSH
2025-02-01	PIT 3 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2024-12-19	NSH 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	NSH
2024-04-15	PIT 4 - 2 NSH	PIT	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	15	1	0.96
1	NSH	4	0	0.06
2	PIT	9	0	0.50
2	NSH	12	0	0.91
3	PIT	13	2	1.81
3	NSH	20	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown