TBL vs VAN - 2025-11-16
2025-11-16 • Benchmark International Arena
TBL 2 - 6 VAN
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 66.0%
VAN: 34.0%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.30
VAN: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 6-11-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.40 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:25 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:35 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 09:26 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:11 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:54 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 05:51 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 13:52 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:57 | VAN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
TBL 2 - 6 VAN
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8