Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-16 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 39.9%

VGK: 60.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.39

VGK: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 4.0

Over 5.5: 31%

Over 6.5: 18%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MIN at home vs VGK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	VGK
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.4 - 2.9