Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-16 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 51.2%

VGK: 48.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.80

VGK: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs VGK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	MIN
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	MIN	15	0.68
1	VGK	11	0.62
2	MIN	7	0.36
2	VGK	12	0.71
3	MIN	9	0.47
3	VGK	15	0.52
4	MIN	3	0.19
4	VGK	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3