Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-11-16 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 1 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 57.4%
DET: 42.6%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.24
DET: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | NYR | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYR at home vs DET: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | NYR 1 - 2 DET | DET | NYR |
| 2025-11-07 | DET 1 - 4 NYR | NYR | DET |
| 2024-11-09 | DET 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-17 | DET 2 - 5 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-14 | NYR 4 - 1 DET | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11:59 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:30 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 16:13 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 1 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0