Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-11-16 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 58.9%

DET: 41.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.09

DET: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • NYR at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.70
1	DET	11	0	0.44
2	NYR	13	0	0.86
2	DET	23	1	2.42
3	NYR	9	0	0.58
3	DET	23	1	2.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1