New York Islanders at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-11-16 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 77.3%
NYI: 22.7%
Expected Goals
COL: 4.16
NYI: 2.55
Total Goals
Median: 7.7
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 65%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | COL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.908 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | NYI 6 - 3 COL | NYI | COL |
| 2025-11-16 | COL 4 - 1 NYI | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 COL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-14 | COL 2 - 6 NYI | NYI | COL |
| 2024-01-02 | COL 5 - 4 NYI | COL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 77.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 4.2 - 2.5
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