Edmonton Oilers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-11-17 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 45.4%

EDM: 54.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.06

EDM: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 36%

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs EDM: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	EDM 3 - 4 BUF	BUF	EDM
2025-11-17	BUF 5 - 1 EDM	BUF	EDM
2025-03-10	BUF 3 - 2 EDM	BUF	EDM
2025-01-25	EDM 3 - 2 BUF	EDM	EDM
2024-03-21	EDM 8 - 3 BUF	EDM	EDM

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1