Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-11-17 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 8 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 77.4%

VAN: 22.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.27

VAN: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

VAN

Jiri Patera - 0-1-0 | 0.825 SV% | 7.39 GAA

Stat	FLA	VAN
Season SV%	0.888	0.825
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.80	7.39

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	15	10	5	66.7%	1.97	4	-3.03
VAN	Jiri Patera	41	33	8	80.5%	4.53	7	-3.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	VAN 5 - 2 FLA	VAN	FLA
2025-11-17	FLA 8 - 5 VAN	FLA	FLA
2024-12-12	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	VAN
2024-10-17	FLA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2023-12-14	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	0	0.95
1	VAN	10	2	0.89
2	FLA	22	2	1.49
2	VAN	10	1	0.58
3	FLA	17	5	2.09
3	VAN	10	1	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown