Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-11-17 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 60.4%
LAK: 39.6%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.07
LAK: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | WSH | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.960 | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs LAK: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | LAK 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | LAK |
| 2025-11-17 | WSH 2 - 1 LAK | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-13 | LAK 3 - 0 WSH | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-12-22 | WSH 3 - 1 LAK | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-07 | WSH 4 - 3 LAK | WSH | LAK |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8
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