Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-11-17 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

WSH: 62.3%

LAK: 37.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.16

LAK: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs LAK: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-02	LAK 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	LAK
2025-11-17	WSH 2 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2025-03-13	LAK 3 - 0 WSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-22	WSH 3 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2024-01-07	WSH 4 - 3 LAK	WSH	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	19	1	1.64
1	LAK	11	0	0.89
2	WSH	7	1	0.72
2	LAK	17	1	1.45
3	WSH	11	1	0.88
3	LAK	16	0	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9