Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-11-17 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WSH: 63.3%

LAK: 36.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.34

LAK: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	WSH	LAK
Season SV%	0.887	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.07	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	31	30	1	96.8%	3.38	1	2.38
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	25	23	2	92.0%	3.24	3	1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs LAK: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-02	LAK 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	LAK
2025-11-17	WSH 2 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2025-03-13	LAK 3 - 0 WSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-22	WSH 3 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2024-01-07	WSH 4 - 3 LAK	WSH	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	19	1	1.64
1	LAK	11	0	0.89
2	WSH	7	1	0.72
2	LAK	17	1	1.45
3	WSH	11	1	0.88
3	LAK	16	0	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown