Montreal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-11-17 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.7%

MTL: 50.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.38

MTL: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • CBJ at home vs MTL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	MTL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	MTL
2026-03-26	MTL 2 - 1 CBJ	MTL	CBJ
2025-11-17	CBJ 4 - 3 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-12-23	CBJ 5 - 4 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-11-27	CBJ 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	11	0	0.56
1	MTL	12	0	0.45
2	CBJ	13	1	1.32
2	MTL	13	0	0.65
3	CBJ	7	1	0.35
3	MTL	14	3	1.72
4	CBJ	0	0	0.00
4	MTL	6	1	0.56
5	CBJ	2	2	1.72
5	MTL	3	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1