St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-11-18 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 50.1%
STL: 49.9%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.49
STL: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | TOR | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.896 | — |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TOR at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | STL 5 - 1 TOR | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-18 | TOR 3 - 2 STL | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-11-02 | STL 4 - 2 TOR | STL | TOR |
| 2024-10-24 | TOR 1 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2024-02-19 | STL 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:50 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:36 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:32 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:18 | TOR | Goal |
| 4 | 04:06 | TOR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9
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