New York Islanders at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-11-18 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 New York Islanders

Win Probability

DAL: 42.8%

NYI: 57.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.39

NYI: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs NYI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NYI 2 - 1 DAL	NYI	DAL
2025-11-18	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-02-23	NYI 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	NYI
2024-10-12	DAL 3 - 0 NYI	DAL	DAL
2024-02-26	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	14	2	1.22
1	NYI	12	0	0.54
2	DAL	10	0	0.87
2	NYI	13	1	0.76
3	DAL	13	0	0.85
3	NYI	8	1	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0