Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-11-18 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 2 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 48.0%

CGY: 52.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.08

CGY: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CHI at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	0	0.69
1	CGY	10	1	0.55
2	CHI	12	0	0.62
2	CGY	11	0	0.54
3	CHI	9	1	1.39
3	CGY	14	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9