New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-11-18 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 61.1%
NYR: 38.9%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.45
NYR: 2.49
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | VGK | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | NYR 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-11-18 | VGK 3 - 2 NYR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-02 | NYR 4 - 2 VGK | NYR | VGK |
| 2025-01-11 | VGK 1 - 2 NYR | NYR | VGK |
| 2024-01-26 | NYR 2 - 5 VGK | VGK | NYR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.5
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