Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-11-19 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

WSH: 55.5%

EDM: 44.5%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.57

EDM: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	EDM 6 - 5 WSH	EDM	EDM
2025-11-19	WSH 7 - 4 EDM	WSH	WSH
2025-02-23	WSH 7 - 3 EDM	WSH	EDM
2025-01-21	EDM 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	EDM
2024-03-13	EDM 7 - 2 WSH	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	15	2	1.73
1	EDM	13	0	1.01
2	WSH	10	0	0.57
2	EDM	11	0	0.78
3	WSH	10	2	1.90
3	EDM	24	1	1.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.6 - 3.2