Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-19 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 37.6%

CAR: 62.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.85

CAR: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	MIN 4 - 3 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-11-06	CAR 4 - 3 MIN	CAR	CAR
2025-02-06	MIN 2 - 1 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-01-04	CAR 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	CAR
2024-02-27	MIN 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.79
1	CAR	21	0	0.89
2	MIN	8	0	0.32
2	CAR	25	0	1.37
3	MIN	5	0	0.36
3	CAR	18	0	0.96
4	MIN	1	0	0.03
4	CAR	3	0	0.31
5	MIN	3	1	0.97
5	CAR	3	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4