Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-11-20 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

Win Probability

TOR: 47.3%

CBJ: 52.7%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.37

CBJ: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs CBJ: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	CBJ 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	CBJ
2025-11-20	TOR 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-29	CBJ 6 - 3 TOR	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-05	TOR 5 - 0 CBJ	TOR	CBJ
2025-01-22	TOR 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	18	1	1.53
1	CBJ	7	0	0.28
2	TOR	13	0	0.45
2	CBJ	18	1	0.82
3	TOR	11	0	0.42
3	CBJ	17	1	1.52
4	TOR	2	0	0.19
4	CBJ	4	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9