New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-11-20 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 5 New York Islanders

Win Probability

DET: 49.7%

NYI: 50.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.66

NYI: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • DET at home vs NYI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	DET 3 - 2 NYI	DET	DET
2025-11-20	DET 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-23	NYI 7 - 2 DET	NYI	NYI
2024-11-25	NYI 2 - 4 DET	DET	NYI
2024-11-21	DET 2 - 1 NYI	DET	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	8	0	0.65
1	NYI	15	1	1.01
2	DET	21	2	1.15
2	NYI	15	2	1.39
3	DET	13	2	1.30
3	NYI	8	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 5 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.7 - 3.1