New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-11-20 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 0 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 62.2%

NJD: 37.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.28

NJD: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Stat	FLA	NJD
Season SV%	0.888	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.80	2.52

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	32	32	0	100.0%	1.97	1	1.97
NJD	Jake Allen	24	23	1	95.8%	2.65	1	1.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • FLA at home vs NJD: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	17	1	1.10
1	NJD	14	1	0.51
2	FLA	19	0	1.05
2	NJD	11	0	0.45
3	FLA	10	0	0.49
3	NJD	15	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown