New York Rangers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-11-20 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 3 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

COL: 74.4%

NYR: 25.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.67

NYR: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	COL	NYR
Season SV%	0.919	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.13	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Scott Wedgewood	19	16	3	84.2%	1.46	0	-1.54
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	35	29	6	82.9%	4.69	3	-1.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	NYR 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-11-20	COL 6 - 3 NYR	COL	COL
2025-01-26	NYR 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-01-14	COL 3 - 2 NYR	COL	COL
2024-03-28	COL 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	17	1	1.11
1	NYR	6	0	0.35
2	COL	23	0	1.19
2	NYR	7	0	0.21
3	COL	14	2	2.39
3	NYR	17	0	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown