🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live

Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-11-20 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
UTA: 50.2%
VGK: 49.8%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.11
VGK: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
StatUTAVGK
Season SV%0.8950.895
Last 5 SV%0.8810.879
SV% vs Opponent0.9470.975
GAA2.682.50
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs VGK: 2-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-05-03VGK
2026-05-01UTA 1 - 5 VGKVGKVGK
2026-04-29VGK 5 - 4 UTAVGKVGK
2026-04-27UTA 4 - 5 VGKVGKVGK
2026-04-24UTA 4 - 2 VGKUTAUTA

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0