Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-11-20 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

VAN: 39.1%

DAL: 60.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.98

DAL: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs DAL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	VAN 1 - 6 DAL	DAL	VAN
2025-11-20	VAN 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-16	DAL 3 - 5 VAN	VAN	DAL
2025-04-08	DAL 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-09	VAN 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	1	1.15
1	DAL	11	0	0.69
2	VAN	22	3	1.77
2	DAL	7	1	0.64
3	VAN	17	2	1.59
3	DAL	15	2	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6