Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-11-20 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (SO)
🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 36.4%
LAK: 63.6%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.42
LAK: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 4.6
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | SJS | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.865 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SJS at home vs LAK: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | LAK 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-11-20 | SJS 4 - 3 LAK | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-10-28 | SJS 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-30 | LAK 8 - 1 SJS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-25 | SJS 7 - 2 LAK | SJS | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:33 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 16:04 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 19:50 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 01:47 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 17:04 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:01 | SJS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.4 - 2.9
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