Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-11-21 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 9 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

BUF: 70.4%

CHI: 29.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 4.45

CHI: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • BUF at home vs CHI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	CHI 1 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-21	BUF 9 - 3 CHI	BUF	BUF
2024-12-27	BUF 6 - 2 CHI	BUF	BUF
2024-10-19	CHI 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-01-18	BUF 3 - 0 CHI	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	19	0	1.42
1	CHI	8	1	0.60
2	BUF	11	0	0.87
2	CHI	9	0	0.54
3	BUF	9	1	0.79
3	CHI	17	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 9 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.4 - 2.9