Minnesota Wild at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-11-21 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 5 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 50.2%

MIN: 49.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.15

MIN: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-21	PIT 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2025-10-30	MIN 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	MIN
2025-03-09	MIN 1 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2024-10-29	PIT 3 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2024-02-09	MIN 3 - 2 PIT	MIN	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	PIT	7	0.58
1	MIN	12	0.84
2	PIT	13	0.87
2	MIN	10	0.92
3	PIT	16	0.61
3	MIN	15	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1