Minnesota Wild at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-11-21 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 61.6%
MIN: 38.4%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.14
MIN: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | PIT | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | 0.942 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | PIT 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | PIT |
| 2025-10-30 | MIN 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | MIN |
| 2025-03-09 | MIN 1 - 3 PIT | PIT | MIN |
| 2024-10-29 | PIT 3 - 5 MIN | MIN | PIT |
| 2024-02-09 | MIN 3 - 2 PIT | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:57 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 09:39 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 11:42 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 01:09 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 17:46 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1