Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-11-21 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 34.1%

CAR: 65.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.97

CAR: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	WPG	CAR
Season SV%	0.880	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.49	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	28	24	4	85.7%	2.84	2	-1.16
CAR	Brandon Bussi	28	25	3	89.3%	2.39	1	-0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	0	1.18
1	CAR	17	0	0.61
2	WPG	6	0	0.13
2	CAR	16	1	1.44
3	WPG	16	1	1.09
3	CAR	11	1	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown