Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-11-21 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

WPG: 28.0%

CAR: 72.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.65

CAR: 3.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	0	1.18
1	CAR	17	0	0.61
2	WPG	6	0	0.13
2	CAR	16	1	1.44
3	WPG	16	1	1.09
3	CAR	11	1	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.7