Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-11-21 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Boston Bruins (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 56.5%

BOS: 43.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.27

BOS: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	LAK	BOS
Season SV%	0.913	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	26	24	2	92.3%	2.30	0	0.30
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	32	31	1	96.9%	3.07	3	2.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs BOS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2025-11-21	LAK 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	LAK
2025-03-23	LAK 7 - 2 BOS	LAK	LAK
2024-10-12	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2024-02-17	BOS 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	1	1.12
1	BOS	16	0	0.62
2	LAK	11	0	0.48
2	BOS	15	0	0.71
3	LAK	21	2	1.47
3	BOS	13	0	0.74
4	LAK	0	0	0.00
4	BOS	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0