St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-11-22 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 64.8%
STL: 35.2%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.04
STL: 2.42
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 32%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | NYI | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.908 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | STL 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-22 | NYI 1 - 2 STL | STL | NYI |
| 2024-11-23 | NYI 3 - 1 STL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-17 | STL 1 - 0 NYI | STL | NYI |
| 2024-03-05 | NYI 4 - 2 STL | NYI | NYI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.0 - 2.4
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