St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-11-22 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 55.7%

STL: 44.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.21

STL: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	STL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-11-22	NYI 1 - 2 STL	STL	NYI
2024-11-23	NYI 3 - 1 STL	NYI	NYI
2024-10-17	STL 1 - 0 NYI	STL	STL
2024-03-05	NYI 4 - 2 STL	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	11	0	0.54
1	STL	11	0	1.05
2	NYI	13	0	0.68
2	STL	16	1	1.08
3	NYI	21	3	1.99
3	STL	10	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2