Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-11-22 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 54.5%
EDM: 45.5%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.60
EDM: 2.54
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | FLA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.919 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | EDM 0 - 4 FLA | FLA | EDM |
| 2025-11-22 | FLA 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | FLA |
| 2025-06-17 | FLA 5 - 1 EDM | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-06-14 | EDM 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | EDM |
| 2025-06-12 | FLA 4 - 5 EDM | EDM | FLA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.