Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-11-22 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 53.5%

EDM: 46.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.47

EDM: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	21	1	1.33
1	EDM	18	0	1.05
2	FLA	29	1	1.76
2	EDM	17	1	1.08
3	FLA	17	1	1.15
3	EDM	15	2	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1