Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-11-22 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 45.4%

EDM: 54.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.63

EDM: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Stat	FLA	EDM
Season SV%	0.888	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.80	2.81

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	25	6	80.6%	3.85	3	-2.15
EDM	Stuart Skinner	38	35	3	92.1%	4.24	3	1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	EDM
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	21	1	1.33
1	EDM	18	0	1.05
2	FLA	29	1	1.76
2	EDM	17	1	1.08
3	FLA	17	1	1.15
3	EDM	15	2	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown