New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-11-22 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PHI: 60.2%

NJD: 39.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.53

NJD: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PHI at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	1	1.52
1	NJD	15	1	1.45
2	PHI	17	1	1.36
2	NJD	19	0	0.98
3	PHI	11	0	0.90
3	NJD	26	1	1.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6