Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-11-22 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

SJS: 43.6%

OTT: 56.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.91

OTT: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	OTT 7 - 4 SJS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-22	SJS 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-01	OTT 5 - 3 SJS	OTT	OTT
2024-11-27	SJS 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-03-09	SJS 2 - 1 OTT	SJS	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	1.00
1	OTT	8	0	0.33
2	SJS	8	1	0.77
2	OTT	24	1	1.64
3	SJS	6	0	0.26
3	OTT	10	2	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1