Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-11-22 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 0 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 45.7%

COL: 54.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.87

COL: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Stat	NSH	COL
Season SV%	0.897	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.07

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	26	23	3	88.5%	4.50	3	1.50
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	35	35	0	100.0%	3.17	2	3.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs COL: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	21	1	1.37
1	COL	9	0	0.44
2	NSH	17	0	0.82
2	COL	16	0	1.25
3	NSH	15	1	0.99
3	COL	16	3	2.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown