New York Rangers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-11-22 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 60.9%

NYR: 39.1%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.30

NYR: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Stat	UTA	NYR
Season SV%	0.895	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	2.11

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	22	20	2	90.9%	2.73	2	0.73
NYR	Jonathan Quick	34	31	3	91.2%	4.27	5	1.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs NYR: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	NYR 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-22	UTA 3 - 2 NYR	UTA	UTA
2025-01-16	UTA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	UTA
2024-10-12	NYR 5 - 6 UTA	UTA	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	18	1	1.17
1	NYR	16	0	1.07
2	UTA	12	1	1.55
2	NYR	9	1	0.65
3	UTA	19	3	1.55
3	NYR	15	1	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown