Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-11-22 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Dallas Stars (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 63.5%
DAL: 36.5%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.63
DAL: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | CGY | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • CGY at home vs DAL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | CGY 3 - 2 DAL | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-27 | CGY 2 - 5 DAL | DAL | CGY |
| 2025-03-06 | DAL 3 - 2 CGY | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-08 | DAL 6 - 2 CGY | DAL | DAL |
| 2023-11-30 | CGY 4 - 3 DAL | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:41 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 16:53 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 06:44 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 01:50 | CGY | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CGY | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CGY | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 7.1
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.6 - 3.5