Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-11-22 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 44.7%
VGK: 55.3%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.08
VGK: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | ANA | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.871 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • ANA at home vs VGK: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | ANA | ||
| 2026-05-14 | ANA 1 - 5 VGK | VGK | ANA |
| 2026-05-12 | VGK 3 - 2 ANA | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-05-10 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-05-08 | ANA 2 - 6 VGK | VGK | ANA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2
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