Carolina Hurricanes at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-11-23 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

BUF: 51.0%

CAR: 49.0%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.99

CAR: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • BUF at home vs CAR: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	CAR 2 - 1 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-11-23	BUF 4 - 1 CAR	BUF	BUF
2025-11-08	CAR 6 - 3 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-04-08	BUF 3 - 0 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-02-27	CAR 5 - 2 BUF	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	15	0	1.08
1	CAR	11	0	0.93
2	BUF	13	0	1.34
2	CAR	22	2	1.24
3	BUF	9	2	2.05
3	CAR	23	2	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 2.6