Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-11-23 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 0 Seattle Kraken (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYI: 56.1%

SEA: 43.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.48

SEA: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI

David Rittich - 10-5-2 | 0.909 SV% | 2.46 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	NYI	SEA
Season SV%	0.909	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.46	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	David Rittich	21	20	1	95.2%	2.32	1	1.32
SEA	Joey Daccord	37	35	2	94.6%	4.44	3	2.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	SEA 4 - 1 NYI	SEA	NYI
2025-11-23	NYI 1 - 0 SEA	NYI	NYI
2024-12-05	NYI 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	NYI
2024-11-16	SEA 3 - 2 NYI	SEA	NYI
2024-02-13	NYI 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	NYI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	16	1	1.29
1	SEA	8	0	0.14
2	NYI	14	0	0.98
2	SEA	9	0	0.56
3	NYI	18	1	0.97
3	SEA	16	1	1.01
4	NYI	7	1	0.82
4	SEA	2	0	0.18
5	NYI	4	0	0.37
5	SEA	4	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 0 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7